The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—part of the United Nations —predicts that under certain scenarios global temperatures could increase by upwards of 5℉ or 6℉ by the end of the century. It is important to note, however, that global warming and temperature increases are not uniform. This means that some places will experience temperature increases that are much greater than average.
This means places can expect more unusually hot summer days. To find the counties projected to experience the hottest weather, researchers at Porch analyzed data from the USGS and NOAA. They calculated the projected number of days per year with a temperature of 90℉ or higher for the year 2080. They also calculated the historical number of days per year with a temperature of 90℉ or higher, and the historical average summer maximum and minimum temperatures.
Only counties with at least 200,000 people were included in the analysis. Counties were grouped based on population size:
- Small counties: 200,000–349,999
- Midsize counties: 350,000–749,999
- Large counties: 750,000 or more
The summary of the data for Mecklenburg County, NC:
- Projected number of days per year w/ temp above 90°F (for year 2080): 102
- Historical number of days per year w/ temp above 90°F: 33
- Historical average summer max temperature: 87.6°F
- Historical average summer min temperature: 65.7°F
For more information, a detailed methodology, and complete results, you can find the original report on Porch’s website: https://porch.com/advice/counties-projected-to-experience-the-hottest-weather